Electricity & Lust

Oscar Predictions: Picture

Posted in Awards, film, oscars, Sam by Sam Unsted on February 23, 2008
no-country-for-old-men.jpg

Picture Nominees: No Country For Old Men, Atonement, There Will Be Blood, Michael Clayton, Juno

This one is mighty open this year, given the mixed reaction of key precursors and the differentiation in overall reviews and business. Commercially, Juno should be frontrunner but realistically, the film is only likely to win its one award for Diablo Cody’s script.
Michael Clayton was a surprise and while a good movie, isn’t quite strong enough to contend either. I would probably not even place it among the dark horses.
The dark horse is surely There Will Be Blood, my favourite of the lot and among the finest movies ever made. The film’s reviews have been near perfect but it could be too far dominated by Day Lewis for Academy voters, evidenced by the snub for Paul Dano.
So the other two are frontrunners. Atonement has been loved for the picture nod by the BAFTAs and Golden Globes and could easily nick it. But, it’s unlikely. They will almost never give an award to a film unless it gets a host of others and its snubbing across almost all major categories doesn’t bode well.
Therefore, it’s No Country For Old Men for the win. It’s picked up big love from critic circles and peer awards and is second only to There Will Be Blood for me in the whole competition. It’s got the momentum and surely will just nick it. Don’t be the house though.

Will Win: No Country For Old Men

Should Win: There Will Be Blood or No Country For Old Men

Dark Horse: Atonement

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4 Responses

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  1. michjoy61 said, on February 23, 2008 at 10:10 pm

    Hey, i just saw There will be blood! Damn, what a powerful, intense film!!!! I’ve read review anywhere from brilliant to this film sucks! Obviously, those people need to see films other than Hannah Montana!!
    Michelle

  2. magnolia12883 said, on February 23, 2008 at 11:02 pm

    What about JUNO?!? It’s SO GREAT!!!

  3. thissalesmanslife said, on February 25, 2008 at 1:55 pm

    Looks like you were right.

  4. patrick said, on March 12, 2008 at 9:26 pm

    just saw no country for old men; it’s unassumingly unconventional and yet (thankfully) never over the top. a bit morally dumbfounding, but that can be a good thing… all in all the Coen brothers deserve their Oscars, well done indeed.


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